In a recent interview, the General Secretary of the New Patriotic Party, Justin Kodua Frimpong, disclosed that the party will contest the Ayawaso East by-election when the Electoral Commission sets a date.
The seat is currently vacant following the death of Naser Mahama Toure, alias Mac Naza, the man who has been Member of Parliament for the constituency since 2012.
The NPP scribe stressed that they will contest and make sure they win the seat which is known to be a traditional stronghold of the ruling National Democratic Congress.
In this piece, we probe the late MP’s successes at four successive polls with the views to appreciate the claim that the opposition could snatch the seat in the upcoming by-election.
| Aspirant | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | 2024 |
| Naser Mahama Toure | 26,647 (65.44%) | 23,407 (62.1%) | 23,583 (61.18%) | 22,139 (70.85%) |
| NPP contender | 13,887 (a) | 13,599 (b) | 14,966 (b) | 9,110 (c) |
| a. Alhaji M. Alhassan
b. Peter Mireku Kwame Antwi c. Zak Rahman |
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From the above, iqratoday.com makes the following findings:
- The NDC has consistently fielded one candidate in the last four elections while the NPP has fielded three over the same period.
- The late MPs votes have consistently been decreasing even though it has remained above 60% of valid votes cast
- The 70.85% achieved in 2024 is the highest win margin despite being with lower numbers that the previous three elections.
From the above, it is likely that the NDC will retain the seat than for the NPP to snatch it.